Impact events

An 800-Million-Year-Old Impact Shower on the Terrestrial Planets from the Breakup of the Eulalia Parent Body

By Keith Cowing
Status Report
astro-ph.EP
June 7, 2026
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An 800-Million-Year-Old Impact Shower on the Terrestrial Planets from the Breakup of the Eulalia Parent Body
Schematic illustrating the evolutionary stages of the Eulalia asteroid family. (a) The Eulalia parent body resides near the Jupiter 3:1 mean-motion resonance (J3:1). (b) Catastrophic disruption of the parent body occurs, with approximately 50% of the fragments being directly injected into the J3:1, where they can be driven into the planet-crossing region. (c) Post-disruption dynamical evolution, during which an estimated 50% of the surviving fragments are expected to eventually migrate toward the J3:1 resonance via Yarkovsky thermal forces. — astro-ph.EP

Multiple studies have proposed a substantial surge in large lunar impacts approximately 800 million years ago (Ma).

Some are based on analyses of the ages of large lunar craters, such as the 93 km Copernicus crater. Others focus on the age distributions of impact glasses returned by lunar missions. A key challenge has been identifying and testing a plausible source for this putative impact spike.

Here we use collisional and dynamical models to link this event to the formation of the Eulalia asteroid family, whose primitive carbonaceous chondrite-like parent body disrupted ∼800 Ma near the 3:1 mean motion resonance with Jupiter (J3:1). Our simulations indicate that approximately three-quarters of the family’s fragments eventually entered the J3:1 over a ∼150-million year interval.

While some fragments were injected into the resonance immediately after the disruption, others migrated more gradually via non-gravitational (Yarkovsky) thermal forces. Once in the J3:1, the fragments were dynamically transported into the planet-crossing region, leading to an elevated rate of bombardment on the Moon and terrestrial planets. Our results demonstrate that the Eulalia breakup can plausibly account for the observed lunar craters formed near 800 Ma.

Intriguingly, this event may also have had widespread repercussions across the inner Solar System. On Earth, its timing coincides with significant shifts in the biosphere, possibly linked to large impacts. On Mars, these impacts might have triggered a pulse of volcanic activity. Together, they showcase how certain catastrophic collisions in the main belt can have far-reaching consequences for the history of the terrestrial planets.

William F. Bottke, David Vokrouhlický, Melissa Dykhuis, Nicolle Zellner

Comments: 42 pages, 15 figures, 1 table accepted for publication in The Planetary Science Journal
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP)
Cite as: arXiv:2606.05036 [astro-ph.EP](or arXiv:2606.05036v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.05036
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Submission history
From: David Vokrouhlicky
[v1] Wed, 3 Jun 2026 16:00:20 UTC (4,094 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.05036
Astrobiology, Astrogeology,

Biologist, Explorers Club Fellow, ex-NASA Space Biologist and Payload integrator, Editor of NASAWatch.com and Astrobiology.com, Lapsed climber, Explorer, Synaesthete, Former Challenger Center board member 🖖🏻