Biosignatures & Paleobiology

An Agnostic Machine Learning Model of Photosynthetic Habitability

By Keith Cowing
Status Report
astro-ph.EP
June 26, 2026
Filed under , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
An Agnostic Machine Learning Model of Photosynthetic Habitability
A: The average relative photosynthetic output rate, ν/νmax, as a function of main sequence stellar temperature/mass and orbital semi-major axis, a, for oxygenic, anoxygenic and hypothetical forms of photosynthesis (denoted by green crosses, red circles and blue triangles respectively). The error bars represent variance in antenna structure in the final evolved photosynthetic population output by the genetic algorithm. The faint dashed lines are a visual reference showing a 1/a2 dependence. B: The habitable zone (green) overlaid with contours of constant ν/νmax (coloured dashed lines) for oxygenic photosynthesis. The contours are interpolated from the data points which are shown as filled circles and the corresponding values of ν/νmax are shown as a percentage. For reference, several candidates worlds from the Habitable Worlds Catalogue (PHL UPR Arecibo 2026) are listed, alongside Earth. C: Same as B but for anoxygenic photosynthesis. D: Same as B but for the hypothetical NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis. Since only three stellar temperatures/masses were considered for the hypothetical form of photosynthesis (due to calculation cost), we added interpolated data points to generate the contours. — astro-ph.EP

The search for exoplanet biosignatures is guided by whether planetary environments can sustain photosynthesis.

As such, the Photosynthetic Habitable Zone (PHZ) was recently proposed, as the overlap between the canonical habitable zone and the orbital range where stellar irradiance is sufficient to drive photosynthesis. Existing PHZ estimates rely on empirical light-response curves from Earth phytoplankton, and thus include implicit Earth-centric biases.

We introduce an agnostic PHZ derived from a generalized model of photosynthesis grounded in thermodynamics and redox chemistry, without reference to model organisms. The model is built on a generic photochemical reaction in which photon capture couples oxidation of a donor molecule to the reduction of CO2.

The optical properties and CO2 reduction rate are optimized against irradiance spectra for exoplanets orbiting main-sequence stars, using a genetic algorithm that mimics evolution by natural selection. Our simulations predict that photosynthetic organisms compensate for reduced flux by evolving larger light-harvesting structures.

As a result, photosynthetic viability declines only linearly with orbital distance, despite stellar flux falling off quadratically. As such, the agnostic PHZ expands well beyond previous Earth-based estimates. Earth-like (visible light) oxygenic photosynthesis is flux-limited at the outer habitable zone for cool M-dwarf stars; however, both anoxygenic photosynthesis and a hypothetical, NIR-driven oxygenic photosynthesis are viable across the entire habitable zone for M, K, and G stars.

This implies that M-dwarf exoplanets could sustain robust oxygenic photosynthesis, though it would be different to that found on Earth, presenting reflectance biosignatures in the NIR band rather than the visible.

Callum Gray, Cassandra Hall, Stefano Santabarbara, Klaus Schmidt-Rohr, Andrew Ringham, Edward Gillen, Thomas J. Haworth, Christopher D. P. Duffy

Comments: 17 pages main body, 5 figures. Submitted to MNRAS
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM); Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2606.24458 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:2606.24458v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2606.24458
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Submission history
From: Callum Gray
[v1] Tue, 23 Jun 2026 11:45:54 UTC (3,925 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.24458

Astrobiology, Astronomy, Exoplanet, Biosignature,

Biologist, Explorers Club Fellow, ex-NASA Space Biologist and Payload integrator, Editor of NASAWatch.com and Astrobiology.com, Lapsed climber, Explorer, Synaesthete, Former Challenger Center board member 🖖🏻