TRAPPIST-1

Updated Forecast For TRAPPIST-1 Times Of Transit For All Seven Exoplanets Incorporating JWST Data

By Keith Cowing
Status Report
astro-ph.EP
September 19, 2024
Filed under , , , , , , ,
Updated Forecast For TRAPPIST-1 Times Of Transit For All Seven Exoplanets Incorporating JWST Data
Transit-timing variations of the seven TRAPPIST-1 planets. Error bars are measurements from Agol et al. (2021), and the JWST times from this paper. Dashed curves show the difference between the new timing solution minus that from Agol et al. (2021). The data behind the figure are available for quantitative forecasting purposes. — astro-ph.EP

The TRAPPIST-1 system has been extensively observed with JWST in the near-infrared with the goal of measuring atmospheric transit transmission spectra of these temperate, Earth-sized exoplanets.

A byproduct of these observations has been much more precise times of transit compared with prior available data from Spitzer, HST, or ground-based telescopes. In this note we use 23 new timing measurements of all seven planets in the near-infrared from five JWST observing programs to better forecast and constrain the future times of transit in this system.

In particular, we note that the transit times of TRAPPIST-1h have drifted significantly from a prior published analysis by up to tens of minutes. Our newer forecast has a higher precision, with median statistical uncertainties ranging from 7-105 seconds during JWST Cycles 4 and 5.

Our expectation is that this forecast will help to improve planning of future observations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, whereas we postpone a full dynamical analysis to future work.

Eric Agol, Natalie H. Allen, Björn Benneke, Laetitia Delrez, René Doyon, Elsa Ducrot, Néstor Espinoza, Amélie Gressier, David Lafrenière, Olivia Lim, Jacob Lustig-Yaeger, Caroline Piaulet-Ghorayeb, Michael Radica, Zafar Rustamkulov, Kristin S. Sotzen

Comments: Submitted to AAS journals, 4 pages, 1 figure
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP)
Cite as: arXiv:2409.11620 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:2409.11620v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2409.11620
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Submission history
From: Eric Agol
[v1] Wed, 18 Sep 2024 00:51:17 UTC (486 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.11620
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