TRAPPIST-1

On the Effectiveness of the Planetary Infrared Excess (PIE) Technique to Retrieve the Parameters of Multiplanet Systems around M dwarfs: A Case Study on the TRAPPIST-1 System

By Keith Cowing
Status Report
astro-ph.EP
October 1, 2023
Filed under , , , , , , ,
On the Effectiveness of the Planetary Infrared Excess (PIE) Technique to Retrieve the Parameters of Multiplanet Systems around M dwarfs: A Case Study on the TRAPPIST-1 System
Best-fit system in each modeling scenario compared to the true TRAPPIST-1 system using only Filippazzo et al. (2015) priors. The symbol size corresponds to the planet size, and the color indicates albedo. Horizontal bars indicate the uncertainty on a planet’s semi-major axis. Each modeling scenario is labeled with the number of planets included, the computed evidence, and its significance against the best-fit model. We use transparency to demonstrate which models are ruled out by > 3σ confidence. The vertical dashed lines indicate the limits of our semi-major axis bounds. — astro-ph.EP

The planetary infrared excess (PIE) technique has the potential to efficiently detect and characterize the thermal spectra of both transiting and non-transiting exoplanets. However, the technique has not been evaluated on multiplanet systems.

We use the TRAPPIST-1 system as our test bed to evaluate PIE’s ability to resolve multiple planets. We follow the unfolding discoveries in the TRAPPIST-1 system and examine the results from the PIE technique at every stage. We test the information gained from observations with JWST and next-generation infrared observatories like the proposed MIRECLE mission concept. We find that even in the case where only the star is known, the PIE technique would infer the presence of multiple planets in the system.

The precise number inferred is dependent on the wavelength range of the observation and the noise level of the data. We also find that in such a tightly packed, multiplanet system such as TRAPPIST-1, the PIE technique struggles to constrain the semi-major axis beyond prior knowledge. Despite these drawbacks and the fact that JWST is less sensitive to the fluxes from planets g and h, with strong priors in their orbital parameters we are able to constrain their equilibrium temperatures. We conclude that the PIE technique may enable the discovery of unknown exoplanets around solar-neighborhood M dwarfs and could characterize known planets around them.

L. C. Mayorga, J. Lustig-Yaeger, K. B. Stevenson

Comments: 12 pages, 11 figures, 1 table, accepted to ApJ
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM)
Cite as: arXiv:2309.15267 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:2309.15267v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2309.15267
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Submission history
From: Laura Mayorga
[v1] Tue, 26 Sep 2023 20:55:28 UTC (3,925 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15267
Astrobiology

Keith Cowing

Explorers Club Fellow, ex-NASA Space Station Payload manager/space biologist, Away Teams, Journalist, Lapsed climber, Synaesthete, Na’Vi-Jedi-Freman-Buddhist-mix, ASL, Devon Island and Everest Base Camp veteran, (he/him) 🖖🏻

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