Exoplanetology: Exoplanets & Exomoons

An Independent Search for Small Long-period Planets in Kepler Data I: Detection Pipeline

By Keith Cowing
Status Report
astro-ph.EP
January 13, 2025
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An Independent Search for Small Long-period Planets in Kepler Data I: Detection Pipeline
Schematic representation of the pipeline (refer to the legend for color coding). The main flow shows how the light curve is processed to find the optimal IMES detection score. The module framed in the dashed line contains additional searches that are needed to evaluate the statistical significance of a threshold-crossing event. –astro-ph.EP

The unprecedented photometric precision of Kepler mission allows searching for Earth-like planets.

However, the current Kepler catalog exhibits insufficient reliability for long-period low signal-to-noise planets due to systematic false alarms caused by correlated and non-Gaussian noise. As a result, it remains hard to measure the occurrence rate of such planets.

We aim to obtain a more reliable catalog of small (Kepler MES≲12) long-period (50-500 days) planet candidates from Kepler data and use it to improve the occurrence rate estimate.

This work develops an independent search pipeline that takes into account noise non-Gaussianity and physical prior. It provides a tail-less background distribution with a rate of ∼1 false alarm per search for MES∼7.8. We demonstrate the increase in detection efficiency for MES of 7.5-9 and >4 transits due to the background distribution control.

We conducted a search on the entirety of Kepler data, applying permutation and injection procedures to calculate the probability of planetary origin for every candidate. The pipeline detected ∼50 candidate events with a high probability of originating from real planets, which will be presented in our future work.

Oryna Ivashtenko, Barak Zackay

Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP); Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics (astro-ph.IM)
Cite as: arXiv:2501.03019 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:2501.03019v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2501.03019
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Submission history
From: Oryna Ivashtenko
[v1] Mon, 6 Jan 2025 14:01:22 UTC (2,381 KB)
https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.03019
Astrobiology,

Explorers Club Fellow, ex-NASA Space Station Payload manager/space biologist, Away Teams, Journalist, Lapsed climber, Synaesthete, Na’Vi-Jedi-Freman-Buddhist-mix, ASL, Devon Island and Everest Base Camp veteran, (he/him) 🖖🏻